Yonas Biru, PhD There are two factors that can destabilize Ethiopia and potentially lead to its disintegration. The First is Economic Deterioration. This has two primary factors: (1) chronic foreign exchange shortage, and (2) restive unemployed youth that are polarized and agitated by tribal conflicts. The Ethiopian government has little to no control on either factor in the short term. The US, EU, World Bank and IMF have far more control over the first factor. If they impose sanctions as they have done to Sudan, and starve Ethiopia of foreign exchange and budget support, Ethiopia will be in big